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Rob's Real Estate Board May 2020 Stats for Vancouver East & West


The May 2020 Market stats are out and available for download. You get the following graphs and charts for both Vancouver East and Vancouver West.


  • Activity Snapshot by PropertyType
  • Detached Properties Report and Graph
  • Condo Report and Graph
  • Townhomes Report and Graph
  • Benchmark Price Graph
  • Average Price Per Square Foot

If you are interested in a report like this is for other areas, please contact me to request it and I'll send it to you.



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Home prices remain steady, buyers and sellers become more comfortable operating in today’s market

Metro Vancouver home prices have remained steady since provincial health officials implemented physical distancing requirements in March.


The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that the MLS® Home Price Index1 composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver today is $1,028,400. This is virtually unchanged from April 2020, a 1.4 per cent increase over the last three months, and a 2.9 per cent increase compared to May 2019.


"Home prices have been stable during the COVID-19 period," Colette Gerber, REBGV Chair said. "While we’re seeing a variety of long-term projections for the market, it's critical to understand the facts and trends as they emerge."


Residential home sales in the region totalled 1,485 in May 2020, a 43.7 per cent decrease from the 2,638 sales recorded in May 2019 and a 33.9 per cent increase from the 1,109 homes sold in April 2020.

Last month’s sales were 54.4 per cent below the 10-year May sales average.


"Home sale and listing activity is down compared to typical, long-term levels and up compared to the activity we saw in April 2020," Gerber said. "Home buyers and sellers are adapting today, becoming more comfortable operating with the physical distancing requirements that are in place in the market."


There were 3,684 detached, attached and apartment properties newly listed for sale on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in Metro Vancouver in May 2020. This represents a 37.1 per cent decrease compared to the 5,861 homes listed in May 2019 and a 59.3 per cent increase compared to April 2020 when 2,313 homes were listed.


"Home buyers and sellers are working with their REALTORS® to use new tools to complete different stages of the real estate transaction virtually," Gerber said. “When in-person interactions are necessary, we’re working with our clients to follow the physical distancing requirements set out by WorkSafeBC and the provincial health officer."


The total number of homes currently listed for sale on the MLS® system in Metro Vancouver is 9,927, a 32.4 per cent decrease compared to May 2019 (14,685) and a 5.7 per cent increase compared to April 2020 (9,389).


For all housing types, the sales-to-active listings ratio for May 2020 is 15 per cent. By housing type, the ratio is 13.5 per cent for detached homes, 18.9 per cent for townhomes, and 14.8 per cent for apartments.


Generally, analysts say downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below 12 per cent for a sustained period, while home prices often experience upward pressure when it surpasses 20 per cent over several months.


Sales and benchmark prices by property type


Sales of detached homes in May 2020 reached 534, a 41.5 per cent decrease from the 913 detached sales recorded in May 2019. The benchmark price for detached properties is $1,456,700. This is a 0.3 per cent increase from April 2020, a 2.2 per cent increase over the past three months, and a 2.9 per cent increase compared to May 2019.


Sales of apartment homes reached 653 in May 2020, a 47.6 per cent decrease compared to the 1,246 sales in May 2019. The benchmark price of an apartment home is $686,500. This is a 0.3 per cent decrease from April 2020, a 0.9 per cent increase over the past three months, and a three per cent increase compared to May 2019.


Attached home sales in May 2020 totalled 298, a 37.8 per cent decrease compared to the 479 sales in May 2019. The benchmark price of an attached home is $792,700. This is a 0.2 per cent increase from April 2020, a 1.2 per cent increase over the past three months, and a 1.8 per cent increase compared to May 2019.



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To Everyone I Know

To all of my friends, clients, and colleagues;  

I recently came across an article  about our current situation right now and I wanted to share it with you.  So, here it is:

The recent events created from the spread of the coronavirus, or otherwise known as COVID-19 is a perfect example of just how fragile we humans are, on a planet that is reminding us that nature and physics are in control.

Unfortunately, even with our advanced technology, it’s still going to take a while before a vaccine is created. This is a very dangerous virus. It’s going to take its toll. Until the vaccine arrives, it’s imperative that we do everything we can to not get infected, or not infect someone else.

Eventually we’ll get through this and if we learn from it, our way of life, our health, and the economy will be better off. The one glimmer of hope that comes from this pandemic, is the way that people of different nations, political stripes, ideologies, and religions have come together cohesively to battle for the health and common good of all, as it is the only way.


The world is also facing another monster, it’s called ‘man-made climate change’. Let us hope that the lessons learned and the commonality that we all now identify with will incentivize all of us who occupy this glorious world, not only to cherish and take care of it, but to use it sustainably, not only to benefit our species, but all species.

If we’re going to save ourselves and the species of earth from climate change and future catastrophic events, again we’ll have to come together and work as one, as it is the only way.

And as we adjust and adapt to the new normal of social distancing and renewed hygiene, which we should have probably been doing anyways, we can reflect that we’re not doing this for ourselves, but for others.

And if we continue to put the health and wellbeing of others in our wheelhouse, we’ll have not only have saved future generations from catastrophic climate change, but we’d actually set an example and provide a template for all generations to come.

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April 2020 Stats

While Metro Vancouver* home sale and listing activity remains limited by the COVID-19 situation, we REALTORS® across the region are fast adopting new tools and practices to help advise and serve our clients in a responsible way. 

The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that residential home sales in the region totalled 1,109 in April 2020, a 39.4 per cent decrease from the 1,829 sales recorded in April 2019, and a 56.1 per cent decrease from the 2,524 homes sold in March 2020. 

Last month’s sales were 62.7 per cent below the 10-year April sales average and was the lowest total for the month since 1982. 

Predictably, the number of home sales and listings declined in April given the physical distancing measures in place.  People are, however, adapting. They’re working with us to get information, advice and to explore their options so that they’re best positioned in the market during and after this pandemic.

Realtors have been named an essential service by the provincial government to help the home buying and selling community meet their housing needs during the pandemic. 

We’re seeing more innovation in today’s market.  We are using different technology to showcase homes virtually, assess neighbourhood amenities  and handle paperwork electronically with our clients.  

There were 2,313 detached, attached and apartment properties newly listed for sale on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in Metro Vancouver in April. This represents a 59.7 per cent decrease compared to the 5,742 homes listed in April 2019 and a 47.9 per cent decrease compared to March 2020 when 4,436 homes were listed. 

The total number of homes currently listed for sale on the MLS® system in Metro Vancouver is 9,389, a 34.6 per cent decrease compared to April 2019 (14,357) and a 2.3 per cent decrease compared to March 2020 (9,606). 

For all property types, the sales-to-active listings ratio for April 2020 is 11.8 per cent. By property type, the ratio is 10 per cent for detached homes, 14.7 per cent for townhomes, and 12.4 per cent for apartments. 

The MLS® Home Price Index composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver is currently $1,036,000. This represents a 2.5 per cent increase over April 2019 and a 0.2 per cent increase compared to March 2020. 

Home prices have held relatively steady in our region since the COVID-19 situation worsened in March.  

Sales of detached homes in April 2020 reached 388, a 33.8 per cent decrease from the 586 detached sales recorded in April 2019. The benchmark price for detached properties is $1,462,100. This represents a 2.3 per cent increase from April 2019 and a 0.8 per cent increase compared to March 2020. 

Sales of apartment homes reached 503 in April 2020, a 43.2 per cent decrease compared to the 885 sales in April 2019. The benchmark price of an apartment property is $685,500. This represents a 2.7 per cent increase from April 2019 and a 0.2 per cent decrease compared to March 2020. 


Attached home sales in April 2020 totalled 218, a 39.1 per cent decrease compared to the 358 sales in April 2019. The benchmark price of an attached home is $796,800. This represents a 2.8 per cent increase from April 2019 and a 0.6 per cent increase compared to March 2020.  





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Fixed vs Variable rates - how to decide?
Clients often ask this question.  Historically variable rates have outperformed fixed rates to the advantage of the client.  There is some logic to this because the client is the one taking the risk of future rate increases compared to the lender. 

If you are a person who would prefer to know exactly what your monthly payment will be, then you would likely be better off with a fixed rate.  Fixed rates are most often recommended for First Time Home Buyers because it is one less thing to worry about.  On the other hand, if you are comfortable with some fluidity to your payments then perhaps a variable rate is more appropriate for you.
 
The current Covid crisis presents a unique position for whether a fixed rate or a variable rate is better.  Most economists are forecasting that it is highly unlikely the Bank of Canada will raise the Key Interest Rate in the next 12 months, with others arguing it could be as long as 24 months. The logic is that the economy will take about that long to recover and the Bank of Canada won't want to do anything to hamper the recovery.  With this in mind, if you can get a variable rate mortgage for 2.45% (as opposed to a 2.84% fixed rate) then you would be saving yourself almost 40 bps in interest for the near future.
 
Prime rates (and as such the effective variable rate) will eventually rise.  And when they do, they usually do so in increments of 25 bps - so the big savings you thought you had can be wiped out pretty quickly.  Potentially you can convert your mortgage from a variable rate to a fixed rate with the same lender with no penalty.  Many lenders (but not all) allow this benefit.  So if you do want this "out" make sure you check to see if your lender does allow it.
 
Keep in mind that many economists are forecasting that lenders will continue to reduce their fixed rates, so some clients are proceeding with a variable rate mortgage in the short term and then will convert to a fixed interest rate in another 6-8 months once they feel the fixed rate is a good rate for them.

If you have questions about your mortgage, feel free to reach out and I'd be happy to put you in contact with a Mortgage Broker to discuss your options at no cost or obligation to you.  


 
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Steady demand and low supply benefits home Sellers

Steady demand and low supply benefits home sellers

February saw steady home buyer demand and reduced home seller supply across Metro Vancouver.

The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that residential home sales in the region was 2,150 in   February 2020, a 44.9 per cent increase from the 1,484 sales recorded in February 2019, and a 36.9 per cent increase from the 1,571 homes sold in January 2020.

 Last month’s sales were 15.6 per cent below the 10-year February sales average.

 Home buyer demand again saw strong year-over-year increases in February while the total inventory of homes for sale struggled to keep pace.  This was most pronounced in the condominium market.

 There were 4,002 detached, attached and apartment homes newly listed for sale on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in Metro Vancouver in February 2020. This represents a 2.8 per cent increase compared to the 3,892 homes listed in February 2019 and a 3.4 per cent increase compared to January 2020 when 3,872 homes were listed.

The total number of homes currently listed for sale on the MLS® system in Metro Vancouver is 9,195, a 20.7 per cent decrease compared to February 2019 (11,590) and a 6.7 per cent increase compared to January 2020 (8,617).

 There has been increased traffic at open houses and multiple offer scenarios in certain pockets of the market.

 Sales of detached homes in February 2020 reached 685, a 52.9 per cent increase from the 448 detached sales recorded in February 2019. The benchmark price for a detached home is $1,433,900. This represents a 0.7 per cent decrease from February 2019 and a 1.9 per cent increase over the past six months.

 Sales of apartment homes reached 1,061 in February 2020, a 39.8 per cent increase compared to the 759 sales in February 2019. The benchmark price of an apartment property is $677,200. This represents a 0.9 per cent increase from February 2019 and a 3.6 per cent increase over the past six months.

 Attached home sales in February 2020 totalled 404, a 45.8 per cent increase compared to the 277 sales in February 2019. The benchmark price of an attached home is $785,000. This represents a 0.6 per cent increase from February 2019 and a 1.7 per cent increase over the past six months.

For a more detailed view of what’s happening in your neighborhood or building, please reach out to me anytime for a complimentary update. 

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11 Tips for Staying Calm During the Time of the Coronavirus.

11 Tips for Staying Calm During the Time of the Coronavirus.


There's so much fear and uncertainty around the rapidly evolving COVID-19 situation. 

How can we be as calm and happy as we can be, under these circumstances?

For people who are fortunate enough to be in good health (remember gratitude!), in addition to crucial health measures such as washing our hands and practicing social distancing, what can we do in a challenging time like this?


  1. Take care of your body. This is important for health and also for mood. Get enough sleep, wake up at a normal hour, eat healthy food, don't drink too much, stick to a regular routine of personal hygiene and dress, and in particular...
  2. Keep moving This may be tough if your normal exercise routine is disrupted. Figure out how to keep active. Even in a small space you can do yoga, you can watch YouTube videos for cardio workouts, you can use exercise apps, or one of many other resources to give you a work-out at home. Drag those dusty hand-weights out from under the bed. And remember to stand up and walk around frequently. In everyday life, we have to move from Point A to Point B, and it may take more effort to get yourself on your feet. 
  3. Beware of information overload. We all want to stay up to date with the latest news, but it's easy to get overwhelmed. Learn what you need to learn, but don't get sucked into the three-hour scroll. Monitor your screen time so you have a solid sense of your habits. You might want to schedule time to check current events—perhaps twice a day—so the news doesn't overtake you.
  4. Prepare. When a crisis hits, people want to prepare. People don't always prepare in the most helpful and rational ways, but they want to do something, and they will do something. So, get informed by a sound source such as http://bit.ly/2xa2KFu (BC Health Ministry) about how to prepare wisely. 
  5. Tidy up. Yes, I know it sounds ridiculous—such a petty gesture in the face of an overwhelming challenge—but outer order can give us a sense of inner calm and inner focus. It's irrational, of course, but it's true.
  6. Help othersOne of the best ways to make ourselves happier is to make other people happier—or safer, or calmer, or better prepared. Look for ways to help others, to make sure they're prepared, that they know you're looking out for them.
  7. Connect with friends and family.  Reach out to people who might feel isolated. This is a time when technology can really come to our aid! Call, text, do video calls, send funny videos of your dog...we all want to feel connected and cared for. Strong social relationships are a key to happiness, so find ways to help others—and yourself—avoid feeling trapped and lonely.
  8. Make good use of this opportunity. Being stuck at home is an opportunity that none of us wished for, but, it's an opportunity, nevertheless. Look for ways to use the time to get things done you otherwise wouldn't be able to do. Go through your closets, clear your clutter, find a YouTube work-out class and get in shape. Do yoga. Cook some new recipes. Get back into meditation. Update your resume. Organize your photos. 

             Keep a journal of this time. It's a milestone in the life of the world, and when this is all over, 

             (and at some  point, it will be over), you may be very glad you kept a record.

  1. Catch up on books, podcasts, movies, or TV shows. Is there something ambitious you've been wanting to tackle? 
  2. Continue or create comforting rituals. You may already have rituals that help you feel grounded throughout the day. These might be helpful now—but it might also be true that you'll have to adapt now, if your usual comforting ritual is disrupted. Find ways to have pleasant patterns through your day that make you feel grounded and calm. It might be meditation, it might be a cup of your favorite tea, it might be a bedtime story with your children. 
  3. Reach out with love. What does it mean? It means many things...and it applies in this situation. The whole world is reeling under the weight of events. I hope that this experience, as terrible as it is, can be an event that reminds us all that we're united in our common human hope for good health and peaceful prosperity, not something that drives us apart. Let's keep our clean hands to ourselves, and our loving hearts open to others.
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COVID-19 SELF ASSESSMENT TOOL

This self-assessment tool, developed with the BC Ministry of Health, will help determine whether you may need further assessment or testing for COVID-19. You can complete this assessment for yourself, or on behalf of someone else, if they are unable to.


Click  https://rem.ax/2U0o9tn  to take the self-assessment. 

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STRATAS:  How to Manage the Dramatic Increases in Insurance Rates

Over the past few months across British Columbia, there has been an industry struggle to renew strata-corporation insurance policies.  With renewals, the cost of insurance has increased anywhere between 50 to 300%.  

Insurance Deductibles have also increased substantially from $25,000 per claim to as much as $250,000 and $500,000 per claim. 

A strata includes ½ duplexes, multifamily low-rise wood-frame apartment buildings, townhouses or high-rise buildings.  

When a water failure or fire occurs in a multi-unit building, multiple units are often affected.  The result is an increase risk for damages and losses by the insurance industry.  

The Strata Property Act states that a strata corporation must insure for full replacement value of all common property, common assets and fixtures.  What this means is that the original construction in a duplex, townhouse, low- or high-rise apartment building is covered under the strata corporation insurance policy. 

Why are the rates increasing dramatically?  

In addition to world-wide catastrophes, we live in a high-risk earthquake zone, and with several major building claims in the province, there are less insurance companies who are covering strata insurance in B.C.

The hardest hit areas are in high-density Metro areas.  Resort properties and communities with developments of more than 250 units are also feeling the crunch. 

With a limited number of insurers, increase in claims, higher property and construction values and a high demand for insurance, a supply/demand imbalance has been created.  Insurers are imposing higher costs in order to minimize their risks. 

How does this affect the Strata owners in B.C.?  

If your strata are faced with a substantial increase in insurance rates, this will be reflected in your annual operating budget.  

For example, if your insurance deductible increases to $100,000, this means that any claims under $100,000 are not covered by your insurance.  And, subject to your bylaws, each owner is likely responsible for damages to their strata lot and the strata corporation is responsible for repairs to common property. 

The result is that many of past insurance costs will be passed onto the affected owners in the event of a claim.  An example would be if an owner of a strata lot has a hose in their washing machine that fails, flooding out the building, the owner could be responsible for the $100,000 deductible.   

I recommend that each homeowner of a strata lot in a strata corporation, consider condo-owner insurance to cover their liability in the event of a claim for damages to their units, the cost of a deductible or the risk of being sued by other owners if they cause a claim.  

If there is a claim for water damage caused by a failed pipe that is part of the Common Property, and, if the claim is more than $100,000, the $100,000 deductible becomes an expense of the Strata Corporation.  The Strata can pay it from the contingency fund or by a special levy to owners without the need for a ¾ vote resolution at a general meeting. 

How can your strata limit the risk?

Firstly, work closely with your insurance broker.  If your strata are faced with a change in insurance or the possibility of no coverage, you must immediately give notice to all owners.  If your strata are unable to obtain insurance, the strata must contact a lawyer to determine the liabilities for owners and council members and what the next steps you should consider.  

As a strata, maintain your buildings.  With all the owners to minimize risks.  Make sure that all individual strata lots with in suite laundry, upgrade the washing machine hoses to braided steel.  Failed rubber hoses in cramped closets and spaces are a chronic cause of water damage. 

Also, address other risks that could result in a claim.  Activities such as smoking as well as barbecues on balconies, heat lamps and in-suite hot water tanks should be addressed.  Repair access or building issues that could raise risks or injury.  Also, update your bylaws!  Bylaws that could result in human-rights complaints or court actions can also increase your risk. 

For prospective Buyers, I would recommend that before you purchase a strata lot, obtain a copy of the strata insurance and confirm the cost, deductibles for water escape and the renewal dates.  Over the coming year, increases will likely continue. 

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Home buyer activity increases in October

The Metro Vancouver housing market is experiencing a fall pickup in home sale activity.

The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that residential home sales in the region totalled 2,858 in October 2019, a 45.4 per cent increase from the 1,966 sales recorded in October 2018, and a 22.5 per cent increase from the 2,333 homes sold in September 2019.

Last month’s sales were 9.8 per cent above the 10-year October sales average.

“Home buyers have more confidence today than we saw in the first half of the year,” says Ashley Smith, REBGV president. “With prices edging down over the last year and interest rates remaining low, hopeful home buyers are becoming more active this fall.”

There were 4,074 detached, attached and apartment homes newly listed for sale on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in Metro Vancouver in October 2019. This represents a 16.4 per cent decrease compared to the 4,873 homes listed in October 2018 and a 16.3 per cent decrease compared to September 2019 when 4,866 homes were listed.

The total number of homes currently listed for sale on the MLS® system in Metro Vancouver is 12,236, a 5.8 per cent decrease compared to October 2018 (12,984) and a nine per cent decrease compared to September 2019 (13,439).

For all property types, the sales-to-active listings ratio for October 2019 is 23.4 per cent. By property type, the ratio is 17.3 per cent for detached homes, 26.2 per cent for townhomes, and 29 per cent for apartments.

Generally, analysts say downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below 12 per cent for a sustained period, while home prices often experience upward pressure when it surpasses 20 per cent over several months.

“The recent uptick in home sales is moving us into a more historically typical market,” Smith said. “Both sale and listing activity is trending around our long-term averages in recent months.”

The MLS® Home Price Index composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver is currently $992,900. This represents a 6.4 per cent decrease from October 2018, a 1.7 per cent decrease over the past six months, and a 0.2 per cent increase compared to September 2019.

Sales of detached homes in October 2019 reached 938, a 47.3 per cent increase from the 637 detached sales recorded in October 2018. The benchmark price for a detached home is $1,410,500. This represents a 7.5 per cent decrease from October 2018, a 1.3 per cent decrease over the past six months, and a 0.3 per cent increase compared to September 2019.

Sales of apartment homes reached 1,384 in October 2019, a 40.5 per cent increase compared to the 985 sales in October 2018. The benchmark price of an apartment home is $652,500. This represents a 5.9 per cent decrease from October 2018, a 2.2 per cent decrease over the past six months, and a 0.2 per cent increase compared to September 2019.

Attached home sales in October 2019 totalled 536, a 55.8 per cent increase compared to the 344 sales in October 2018. The benchmark price of an attached home is $771,600. This represents a 5.8 per cent decrease from October 2018, a 0.4 per cent decrease over the past six months, and a 0.5 per cent increase compared to September 2019.

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Reciprocity Logo The data relating to real estate on this website comes in part from the MLS® Reciprocity program of either the Greater Vancouver REALTORS® (GVR), the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board (FVREB) or the Chilliwack and District Real Estate Board (CADREB). Real estate listings held by participating real estate firms are marked with the MLS® logo and detailed information about the listing includes the name of the listing agent. This representation is based in whole or part on data generated by either the GVR, the FVREB or the CADREB which assumes no responsibility for its accuracy. The materials contained on this page may not be reproduced without the express written consent of either the GVR, the FVREB or the CADREB.